Cheniere Energy, Inc.
IPAA Oil & Gas Investment Symposium New York April 20, 2004
Is it too late?
Charif Souki Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Cheniere Energy, Inc.
Safe Harbor Act Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Certain information in this presentation are forward looking statements that are based on managements belief, as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to management. While the company believes that its expectations are based upon reasonable assumptions, there can be no assurances that the companys financial goals will be realized. Numerous uncertainties and risk factors may affect the companys actual results and may cause results to differ materially from those expressed in forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of the company. These uncertainties and risk factors include political, economic, environmental and geological issues, including but not limited to, the continued need for additional capital, the competition within the oil and gas industry, the price of oil and gas, currency fluctuations, and other risks detailed from time to time in the companys periodic reports filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.
American Stock Exchange Ticker: LNG
Stock Shares
Performance Outstanding Market Cap
March 31, 2003 $1.40 13,297,393 $ 18,616,350
March 31, 2004 $17.34 18,707,811 $ 324,393,442
Cheniere Energy, Inc.
Exploration
Gryphon Exploration: 9.3 %
Warburg Pincus Equity Partners L.P.: 90.7 %
Cheniere Exploration
LNG
Terminals
- Freeport LNG: 30% limited partner
- Corpus Christi: 66.6 %
- Sabine Pass: 100%
Trading
- J&S Cheniere S.A.
LNG Trading affiliate with no risk exposure to Cheniere
Pipelines
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To serve terminals |
LNG: Myth vs. Reality
MYTH
Gas will never average $3/mcf
Cost to deliver LNG prohibitive
Will never get onshore facility permitted
Gulf Coast siting:
Coal to Newcastle
Must control supply
Too many proposals
REALITY
Dispelled2004 estimate: $5.25 mcf
$ 2.50/mcf to $3.50/mcf
Over 30 Ideas Proposed Including 6 Offshore
Deepest market in the world:
15 Bcf/d local consumption
19 Bcf/d takeaway
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US SupplyDemand Gap
Historical Forecast
8 Tcf
Production Consumption
Source: EIA, Historical Natural Gas Annual (2003), Forecast based on 3% AA decline in existing production
Supply and Liquefaction
Global Stranded Reserves: 6000 Tcf
Committed Liquefaction Investment $20 Billion by 2010
80% Controlled by National Oil Companies
Liquefaction Atlantic Mideast/Gulf Pacific Total
1999 3.1 2 8 13.1 Bcf/d
2002 5.6 3.7 8 17.3 Bcf/d
2006 10.5 5.7 11.0 27.2 Bcf/d
Shipping
Committed Shipping Investment $10 Billion by 2007 Increasing number of ships uncommitted to a trade
World Fleet*
1995 93
2001 128
2003 152
2006 208
*Source Clarksons, LNG Shipping Solutions, Poten & Partners
Regasification Over 30 proposed Ideas
Proposed Sites
Actual Projects
6 onshore permit applications with FERC. 9.3 Bcf/d 6 offshore applications with Coast Guard 5.4 Bcf/d 3 NEPA pre-filing 3.2 Bcf/d
Numerous outside U.S. (Bahamas, Mexico) 2 for US Markets
Consumption by Coastal States
NH 0.06
CT 0.4
RI 0.2
MD 0.5
US Gas Flows
Canada to MW 5.8 Bcf/d
Into Chicago Area Hub 7.2 Bcf/d
From Gulf Coast Production 19 Bcf/d
Canada to NE 0.5 Bcf/d
Into Boston Metro Area 0.8 Bcf/d
Into NY Metro Area 1.8 Bcf/d
Existing US Pipeline Infrastructure
Permitting
Permit Requirements
Objective: FERC codes and rules very straight forward
Subjective: Local acceptance
Length of process: 12-18 months from filing application
Offshore
Never done
More expensive
Reliability un-tested
Status of Industry
In the next three years:
Liquefaction growth of 10 Bcf/d represents 60% increase over next 3 years
Shipping growth of 62 vessels represents 50% increase over next 3 years
The supplydemand gap in the US continues to make this market the prime target for LNG producers
1012 Bcf/d potential for LNG imports
Bottleneck: US Receiving capacity: Being addressed Who will succeed?
Chenieres Business Model
- Gulf coast: liquidity, optionality and acceptability
- Lowest cost regas supplier:
Large sites: easy to build within code
Large terminals for economies of scale
Proximity to large takeaway capacity & industrial users
Cooperate with communities to generate local support
- Tolling arrangements: take or pay 60 to 70% of capacity
- Conventional technology: tried & tested to ease permitting
- Early mover: 3 out of 6 FERC applications with strong community support
Cheniere Energy, Inc.
Cheniere LNG
Terminals
Pipelines
J & S Cheniere Trading
Equity Structure
Cheniere LNG Receiving Terminals
Freeport LNG
30%
1.5 Bcf/d sendout
2007- In-service
Limited partnership interest
Capacity soldout
Corpus Christi LNG
66.7%
2.6 Bcf/d sendout
2007-2008 In-service
General Partner
Sabine Pass LNG
100%
2.6 Bcf/d sendout
2007-2008 In-service
General Partner
Marketing of Capacity
Total capacity in development 6.7 Bcf/d
Held to Chenieres Account 2.2 Bcf/d
Offered to Market 4.5 Bcf/d
CommittedDow Chemical & ConocoPhillips 1.5 Bcf/d
Available 3.0 Bcf/d
Cheniere 2003 2004 Accomplishments
MarchFreeport FERC application filed
JuneSigned MOU with Dow Chemical 500 MMcf/d
NovemberFERC issued Freeport Draft Environmental Impact Statement
DecemberFreeport & ConocoPhillips signed agreement COP to finance construction and to use 1Bcf/d Freeport capacity sold out
DecemberCorpus Christi & Sabine Pass FERC applications filed 2.6 Bcf/d capacity at each site planned to be largest in US
JanuaryInitiated Marketing of capacity at Corpus & Sabine
FebruaryJ&S Cheniere picks up first cargo in Algeria
MarchFERC Scoping meetings for Sabine (3/11) and Corpus Christi (3/24) indicate complete local support
Cheniere 2004 Goals
Sell 3 bcf/d of capacity in Sabine and Corpus
Finalize construction turnkey with Bechtel
Permits for all three locations
Complete financing for Sabine and Corpus
Commence construction on at least two maybe all three projects by Q1 2005
Model Economics
Freeport LNG, L.L.P Cheniere 30% Limited Partner
Capacity: 1.5 Bcf/d
CAPEX: Estimate $500 million financed by ConocoPhillips
Revenue stream:
- ConocoPhillips terminal usage fee sufficient to recover financing and pro-rata costs; plus throughput fee 5 cents/Mcf on 1 Bcf/d
- Dow ChemicalLong-term capacity fee
Corpus Christi & Sabine Pass
Capacity: 2.6 Bcf/d each
CAPEX: Estimate $600 million each
Customer tolling fee: $0.30 MMbtu plus prorated costs
Cheniere Energy, Inc.
Is it too late?
By 2007/2008 these terminals represent only a portion of this nations requirements.
These terminals, with strong local support and early applications will be among the first new terminals built onshore in the US.
With their cost structure they will provide the lowest regas costs in the US
If we execute our business plan we will be able to retain 2 Bcf/d to market for our own account. Our share of Freeports cash flow is only the first step.
The value creation process should be completed early next year. With permits and long term take or pay contracts, during Q1 2005, valuing the company will become a discounting exercise.